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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-07-20T15:31Z
Model Inputs: 2024-07-19T21:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-31.0, Lat.=-21.0, Speed=793.0, HalfAngle=20.0, Time21.5=2024-07-20T02:19Z 2024-07-19T22:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-12.0, Lat.=-19.0, Speed=531.0, HalfAngle=25.0, Time21.5=2024-07-20T04:39Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: (Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-07-23T02:00Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -17.8 hr] Possible Kp index: (kp)90=3 (kp)135=4 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-24T10:00Z (Glancing Blow) Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-21T12:00Z (Glancing Blow) STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-22T22:00Z (Glancing Blow) [PE: -23.7 hr] Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240720_022000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : The combined leading edge of the CMEs may give a glancing blow to BepiColombo on 2024-07-21T13:45Z (plus/minus 7 hours). Only CME with ID: 2024-07-19T22:24:00-CME-001 is expected to impact STEREO A. Submitted on 2024-07-20T15:36Z by Mary Aronne A Notification with ID 20240720-AL-001 was sent on 2024-07-20T15:50Z |
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